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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PhilippinesPhilippines Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.4% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Philippines Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.4% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.2% from August's 3.2% reading. The reading matched expectations. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 3.05%, vs 2.7% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
3.4
Consensus
3.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.27 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 3.4
Actual: 3.4
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Philippines) was reported at 3.4% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3.4% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.18%, ranging from 0.1% to 3.4% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.17%, up from the prior three at 2.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.19%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.54%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.27%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 5) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PH
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Philippines
DEFINITION
The Philippines' Producer Price Index YoY for October rose to 3.4%, matching estimates and up from September's 3.1%. This increase signals a continued upward trend in producer prices, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely as the central bank maintains its cautious stance. Updated 10/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.72) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PH Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | PH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.6 | 50.3 | 50.60 | Low | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | PH | Inflation Rate MoM | 1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 01:00 | PH | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.45 | Low | |
| 01:00 | PH | Inflation Rate YoY | 7.2 | 7.8 | 7.75 | Medium | |
| 01:10 | PH | Inflation Rate MoM | 1 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 01:10 | PH | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 4.7 | 4.4 | 4.45 | Low | |
| 01:10 | PH | Inflation Rate YoY | 7.2 | 7.3 | 7.25 | Medium | |