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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PakistanPakistan Interest Rate Decision held to 11.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Pakistan Interest Rate Decision held to 11.5% in July 2026. The reading matched the 11.5% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.5%. Over the past 3 months, Interest Rate Decision averaged 11.5%, vs 11.0% in the prior 3-month window. Interest Rate Decision is now the highest in 14 months.
Latest Release
11.5
Actual
11.5
Consensus
11.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.19 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 11.5
Actual: 11.5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate Decision (Pakistan) was reported at 11.5% in July 2026. This matched the market consensus of 11.5% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.93%, ranging from 10.5% to 11.5% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.17%, up from the prior three at 10.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.42%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.18%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Interest Rate Decision has averaged 14%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.19%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Interest Rate Decision - PK
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About Interest Rate Decision — Pakistan
DEFINITION
The Interest Rate Decision is a key financial indicator that reflects the decision made by a central bank or monetary authority to either increase, decrease, or maintain the current interest rates. This decision has a significant impact on the economy, as it affects the cost of borrowing money, inflation rates, and overall economic growth. Investors and businesses closely monitor interest rate decisions as they can have a significant impact on financial markets and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 11.5 %, consensus 11.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 11.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 11.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.66) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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