Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Consumer Confidence climbed to -11.3% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Poland Consumer Confidence climbed to -11.3% in May 2026, up 2.8% from April's -14.1% reading. The print exceeded the -13.5% consensus by 2.2%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -13.15%, vs -9.5% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
-11.3
Actual
-13.5
Consensus
-14.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.8 percentage points
across last 5 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -14.85
Actual: -11.3
Error: -3.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Poland) was reported at -11.3% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -13.5% by 2.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -14.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Consumer Confidence - PL
Loading chart data...
About Consumer Confidence — Poland
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -11.3 %, consensus -13.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -14.1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -12.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.