Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Employment Growth YoY held to -0.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Poland Employment Growth YoY held to -0.9% in April 2026, released May 2026. The reading matched the -0.9% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.82%. Over the past 3 months, Employment Growth YoY averaged -0.85%, vs -0.8% in the prior 3-month window. Employment Growth YoY is now the lowest in 36 months.
Latest Release
-0.9
Actual
-0.9
Consensus
-0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.05 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.9
Actual: -0.9
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/PLN | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Employment Growth YoY (Poland) was reported at -0.9% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.9% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.82%, ranging from -0.9% to -0.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.83%, down from the prior three at -0.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.04%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.19%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Employment Growth YoY has averaged -0.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/PLN (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Employment Growth YoY - PL
Loading chart data...
About Employment Growth YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Employment Growth YoY (Year-over-Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of employed individuals over a 12-month period. It provides insight into the overall health of the job market and can be used to assess the strength of an economy. A positive Employment Growth YoY indicates an increase in job opportunities and a growing workforce, while a negative growth suggests a decline in employment and potential economic challenges. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions about hiring, investing, and economic planning.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.9 %, consensus -0.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -0.9 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.