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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 304.9B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 304.9B in August 2026, released September 2026, up 9.9B from July's 295B reading. The reading matched the 297B consensus. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 294.25B, vs 295.17B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 93rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
304.9
Actual
297
Consensus
295
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.35 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 295.25
Actual: 304.9
Error: -9.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/PLN | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Poland) was reported at 304.90 billion in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 297.00 billion by 7.90 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 295.00 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 287.66 billion, ranging from 262.50 billion to 305.80 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 297.80 billion, down from the prior three at 298.97 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.86 billion) is comparable than the prior year (σ 14.71 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 259.63 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.35 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - PL
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Poland
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 304.9 M, consensus 297 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 295 M. Before that (Jun 2026): 293.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.72) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |