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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 262.5B in September 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2025
Poland Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 262.5B in September 2025, released October 2025, up 1.6B from August's 260.9B reading. The reading matched the 262B consensus. Foreign Exchange Reserves has now risen for 12 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 258.4B, vs 244.5B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
262.5
Actual
262
Consensus
260.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.07 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2025
Predicted: 265.7
Actual: 262.5
Error: +3.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.85 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Poland) was reported at 297.20 billion in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 297.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 273.32 billion, ranging from 247.60 billion to 305.80 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 298.97 billion, up from the prior three at 266.20 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 19.32 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 11.14 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 249.50 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.07 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - PL
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Poland
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 297.2 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 297.6 M. Before that (Mar 2026): 290.7 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.85) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.