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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 1.0% in Q2 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased August 2026
Poland GDP Growth Rate QoQ climbed to 1.0% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 0.4% from March's 0.6% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.1%. GDP Growth Rate QoQ has now risen for 4 consecutive months. GDP Growth Rate QoQ is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.15 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.85
Actual: 1
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Poland) was reported at 1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.84%, ranging from 0.5% to 1% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.83%, unchanged from the prior three. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.52%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Growth Rate QoQ has averaged 1.14%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.15%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Growth Rate QoQ - PL
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About GDP Growth Rate QoQ — Poland
DEFINITION
The GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Quarter over Quarter) is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage change in a country's gross domestic product from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as well as its short-term growth trajectory. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2014): actual 0.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.25 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |