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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.0% in Q2 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Poland Gross Domestic Product QoQ climbed to 1.0% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 0.4% from March's 0.6% reading. The print exceeded the 0.9% consensus by 0.1%. Gross Domestic Product QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product QoQ is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1
Actual
0.9
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.85
Actual: 1
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/PLN | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Poland) was reported at 1% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.9% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.81%, ranging from 0.5% to 1% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.83%, up from the prior three at 0.8%. In August readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product QoQ has averaged 0.9%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product QoQ - PL
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About Gross Domestic Product QoQ — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Gross Domestic Product QoQ rose to 1.000000% in Q2 2026, beating the 0.900000% estimate and up from 0.600000% in Q1 2026. This acceleration signals stronger economic expansion compared to the previous quarter. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank policy adjustments amid this growth momentum. Updated 8/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.25 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |