Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland M3 Money Supply YoY held to 11.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Poland M3 Money Supply YoY held to 11.3% in August 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched the 11.2% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.2%. The reading is in the 89th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
11.3
Actual
11.2
Consensus
11.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 11.05
Actual: 11.3
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
M3 Money Supply YoY (Poland) was reported at 11.3% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 11.2% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.8%, ranging from 10% to 11.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 11.2%, up from the prior three at 10.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.41%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.33%). In September readings over the past 3 years, M3 Money Supply YoY has averaged 10.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
M3 Money Supply YoY - PL
Loading chart data...
About M3 Money Supply YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
M3 Money Supply YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the total amount of money in circulation within an economy. It includes all forms of money, such as cash, deposits, and other liquid assets. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to assess the overall health and stability of a country's monetary system and to make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. A positive YoY change in M3 Money Supply indicates an increase in liquidity and potential for economic growth, while a negative change may signal potential inflationary pressures.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 11.3 %, consensus 11.2 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 11.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 11 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | PL | Current Account | -2419 | -2600 | -2298.50 | Low | |
| 12:00 | PL | Balance of Trade | -1843 | -1700 | -1441.00 | Low | |
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |