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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.7% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Poland Producer Price Index YoY fell to 1.7% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.7% from May's 2.4% reading. The print exceeded the 1.6% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -1.08%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.15%, vs -1.9% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.7
Actual
1.6
Consensus
2.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.29 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 2.08
Actual: 1.7
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| USD/PLN | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Poland) was reported at 1.7% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.71%, ranging from -2.6% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2%, up from the prior three at -2.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.85%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.29%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with USD/PLN, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.29%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Aug 13) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Aug 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PL
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Producer Price Index YoY for June came in at 1.7%, missing the 1.6% estimate but down from May's 2.4%. The slowdown from May to June signals easing inflationary pressures in producer prices. Market focus now shifts to upcoming CPI data for further inflation insights. Updated 7/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.7 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.4 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.49) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | CPI YoY | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | CPI MoM | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | PL | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 46.1 | 47.5 | 47.60 | Low | |