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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Poland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 6.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.3% from August's 4.8% reading. The print exceeded the 5.8% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.47%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 3.73%, vs 2.0% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
6.1
Actual
5.8
Consensus
4.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 6.08
Actual: 6.1
Error: -0.02
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Poland) was reported at 6.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 5.8% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.25%, ranging from -2.6% to 6.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.83%, up from the prior three at 2.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.98%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.24%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.45%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4) and GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PL
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 6.100% in October, surpassing the 5.800% estimate and up from September's 4.200%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation, indicating mounting cost pressures in the economy. Market participants will closely watch upcoming data and central bank signals for potential policy adjustments. Updated 10/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 6.1 %, consensus 5.8 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.2 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.54) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | PL | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 48.5 | 49.25 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | PL | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | Medium | |