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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.8% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Poland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.8% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.9% from June's 1.9% reading. The print exceeded the 2.3% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.81%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 2.05%, vs -0.4% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
2.8
Actual
2.3
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.34 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.3
Actual: 2.8
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Poland) was reported at 2.8% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.3% by 0.5%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.31%, ranging from -2.6% to 2.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.3%, up from the prior three at -1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.11%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.27%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, negatively correlated (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.34%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 21, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 23) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PL
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 2.800% in August, beating the 2.300% estimate and up from July's 1.700%. This marks a clear acceleration in producer price inflation compared to the prior month. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid this upward trend. Updated 8/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.8 %, consensus 2.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 1.7 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.47) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - PL Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 07:30 | PL | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | PL | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.25 | Low |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:30 | PL | Consumer Confidence | -11.3 | -12 | -11.40 | Low | |