Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
PolandPoland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Poland Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 1.9% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.7% from March's 1.2% reading. The print exceeded the -0.1% consensus by 2.0%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.55%, vs -2.4% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
-0.1
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: -0.05
Actual: 1.9
Error: -1.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/PLN | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/PLN | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Poland) was reported at 1.9% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.1% by 2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -1.45%, ranging from -2.6% to 1.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1%, up from the prior three at -1.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/PLN (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
Producer Price Index YoY - PL
Loading chart data...
About Producer Price Index YoY — Poland
DEFINITION
Poland's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 1.900000% in May, sharply beating the -0.100000% estimate. This marks a significant acceleration from April's -0.800000%, signaling a shift from deflationary pressures to rising producer costs. Market focus will remain on inflation dynamics ahead of upcoming central bank policy decisions. Updated 5/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -0.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -2.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/PLN (Bullish USD, r=0.48) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.