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Retail Sales MoM climbed to 1.8 in March 2026, up 2.4 from February's -0.6 reading. The print exceeded the 0.4 consensus by 1.4. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.23. Over the past 3 months, Retail Sales MoM averaged 1.35, vs -0.2 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.6. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | CPI MoM | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.40 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | CPI YoY | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low | ||