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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ParaguayParaguay Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -1.5% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Paraguay Producer Price Index YoY climbed to -1.5% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from June's -1.8% reading. The reading missed the -0.7% consensus by 0.8%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.12%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.65%, vs -0.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-1.5
Actual
-0.7
Consensus
-1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.38 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -1.13
Actual: -1.5
Error: +0.38
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Paraguay) was reported at -1.5% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.7% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.71%, ranging from -1.8% to 4.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -1.6%, down from the prior three at -0.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.3%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.35%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.38%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PY
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Paraguay
DEFINITION
Paraguay's Producer Price Index YoY for August came in at -1.5%, missing the estimate of -0.7% but improving from July's -1.8%. The index remains in contraction territory, though the pace of decline has moderated compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data for further signals on monetary policy direction. Updated 8/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -1.5 %, consensus -0.7 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -1.8 %. Before that (May 2026): -1.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - PY Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | PY | Consumer Confidence | 39.67 | 42.99 | 43.6 | 41.64 | Low |