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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ParaguayParaguay Producer Price Index YoY fell to -1.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Paraguay Producer Price Index YoY fell to -1.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.3% from May's -1.5% reading. The print exceeded the -2.1% consensus by 0.3%. Producer Price Index YoY has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged -1.25%, vs -0.47% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the lowest in 17 months.
Latest Release
-1.8
Actual
-2.1
Consensus
-1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.52 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -2.88
Actual: -1.8
Error: -1.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Paraguay) was reported at -1.8% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -2.1% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of -1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.32%, ranging from -1.8% to 4.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -1.43%, down from the prior three at 0.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.44%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.38%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.52%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - PY
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Paraguay
DEFINITION
Paraguay's Producer Price Index YoY for June came in at -1.8%, beating the estimate of -2.1% and down from May's -1.5%. The data shows a continued contraction in producer prices, deepening from May to June. Market focus remains on inflation trends ahead of upcoming central bank policy decisions. Updated 7/25/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -1.8 %, consensus -2.1 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -1.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.69) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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