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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SerbiaSerbia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.4% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Serbia Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 8.4% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.6% from April's 7.8% reading. The reading matched the 8.5% consensus. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 6.55%, vs 0.53% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
8.4
Actual
8.5
Consensus
7.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 8.5
Actual: 8.4
Error: +0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Serbia) was reported at 8.4% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 8.5% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.82%, ranging from -0.3% to 8.4% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.77%, up from the prior three at 1.77%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 6, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - RS
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Serbia
DEFINITION
Serbia's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 8.400% in May, missing the 8.500% estimate but up from April's 7.800%. The increase signals continued upward pressure on producer costs, reflecting ongoing inflationary trends. Market participants will watch upcoming inflation data closely amid this persistent price growth. Updated 6/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 8.4 %, consensus 8.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 7.8 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 5.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.