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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.9% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Russia Inflation Rate MoM climbed to 0.9% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.7% from May's 0.2% reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.8% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. Inflation Rate MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.15%, vs 0.8% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
0.8
Consensus
0.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.12 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.75
Actual: 0.9
Error: -0.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (Russia) was reported at 0.9% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.8% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.48%, ranging from -0.4% to 1.6% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.4%, down from the prior three at 0.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.48%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.41%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Inflation Rate MoM has averaged 0.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.12%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Inflation Rate MoM - RU
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About Inflation Rate MoM — Russia
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus 0.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.55 | Medium | |