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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 6.1% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Russia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 6.1% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 4.1% from March's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 1.0% consensus by 5.1%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.25%, vs -1.48% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
6.1
Actual
1
Consensus
2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.6 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.95
Actual: 6.1
Error: -4.15
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Russia) was reported at 6.1% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1% by 5.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.22%, ranging from -2.5% to 6.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.37%, up from the prior three at -0.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.6%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - RU
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia's Producer Price Index MoM surged to 6.100000% in May, sharply beating the 1.000000% estimate. This marks a significant acceleration from April's 2.000000%, indicating a strong upward trend in producer prices. The sharp increase may influence market pricing and monetary policy considerations ahead of upcoming economic data. Updated 5/20/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 6.1 %, consensus 1 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.