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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.9% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Russia Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 0.9% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 3.4% from July's -2.5% reading. The print exceeded the -0.9% consensus by 1.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.43%. The reading is in the 70th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.9
Actual
-0.9
Consensus
-2.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -2.45
Actual: 0.9
Error: -3.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Russia) was reported at 0.9% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.9% by 1.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of -2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.45%, ranging from -2.5% to 6.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.3%, down from the prior three at 1.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.34%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.07%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 30) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - RU
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.900000% in September, reversing August's 2.5% decline. This marks a sharp rebound from July's 2.5% increase and August's contraction, signaling renewed upward pressure on producer costs. The shift may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming inflation data and central bank policy reviews. Updated 9/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.9 %, consensus -0.9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -2.5 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 5.50 | Low |
| 16:00 | RU | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.9 | -2.5 | -0.9 | 0.00 | Low |