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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 2.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Russia Producer Price Index MoM fell to 2.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 3.6% from April's 6.1% reading. The reading missed the 4.0% consensus by 1.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.4%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 4.05%, vs -1.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.5
Actual
4
Consensus
6.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.84 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 6.55
Actual: 2.5
Error: +4.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Russia) was reported at 2.5% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 6.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.41%, ranging from -2.5% to 6.1% across 12 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.03%, up from the prior three at -1.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.84%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 19) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - RU
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia's Producer Price Index MoM rose 2.500000% in June, missing the 4.000000% estimate and down from May's 6.100000%. June's increase signals a slowdown in producer price inflation compared to the sharp rise in May. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid easing price pressures. Updated 6/17/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 2.5 %, consensus 4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 6.1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.