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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Exports climbed to 87.2B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Saudi Arabia Exports climbed to 87.2B in August 2026, released October 2026, up 2.7B from July's 84.5B reading. The reading missed the 94.6B consensus by 7.4B. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 98.66B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 86.1B, vs 103.4B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 7th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
87.2
Actual
94.6
Consensus
84.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±9.11 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 84.93
Actual: 87.2
Error: -2.28
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 87.20 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 94.60 billion by 7.40 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 84.50 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 97.05 billion, ranging from 84.40 billion to 115.20 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 86.47 billion, down from the prior three at 103.40 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 8.75 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.03 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 93.03 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 9.11 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 1).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports - SA
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About Exports — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 87.2 B, consensus 94.6 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 84.4 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 87.8 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.58) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | SA | M3 Money Supply YoY | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.20 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | SA | M3 Money Supply YoY | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | SA | Bank Lending YoY | 6 | 6 | 5.9 | 5.85 | Low |