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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Exports fell to 87.8B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Saudi Arabia Exports fell to 87.8B in June 2026, released August 2026, down 8.9B from May's 96.7B reading. The reading missed the 109.1B consensus by 21.3B. Exports has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 97.5B, vs 104.33B in the prior 3-month window. Exports is now the lowest in 33 months.
Latest Release
87.8
Actual
109.1
Consensus
96.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7.4 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 103.38
Actual: 87.8
Error: +15.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 87.80 billion in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 109.10 billion by 21.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 96.70 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 100.04 billion, ranging from 87.80 billion to 115.20 billion across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 94.27 billion, down from the prior three at 103.70 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 6.73 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.36 billion). In August readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 89.27 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7.40 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 24, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Exports - SA
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About Exports — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 87.8 B, consensus 109.1 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 93.8 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 101.2 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
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Economic Calendar - SA Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SA | Wholesale Prices YoY | 4.6 | 5 | 5.1 | 4.85 | Low |
| 06:00 | SA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 06:00 | SA | Inflation Rate YoY | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low |