Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 4.2% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Saudi Arabia Wholesale Prices YoY fell to 4.2% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.8% from August's 5.0% reading. The reading missed the 4.7% consensus by 0.5%. Wholesale Prices YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Prices YoY averaged 4.8%, vs 4.32% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 80th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
4.2
Actual
4.7
Consensus
5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.51 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 4.53
Actual: 4.2
Error: +0.33
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 4.2% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4.7% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.75%, ranging from 2.3% to 5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.6%, up from the prior three at 4.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.88%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.44%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Wholesale Prices YoY has averaged 3.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 1).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Wholesale Prices YoY - SA
Loading chart data...
About Wholesale Prices YoY — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 4.2 %, consensus 4.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 4.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bullish USD, r=0.42) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - SA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | SA | M3 Money Supply YoY | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.20 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | SA | M3 Money Supply YoY | 4.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.20 | Low |
| 10:00 | SA | Bank Lending YoY | 6 | 6 | 5.9 | 5.85 | Low |