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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 4.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Saudi Arabia Wholesale Prices YoY climbed to 4.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.2% from May's 4.6% reading. The reading missed the 5.6% consensus by 0.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.07%. Over the past 3 months, Wholesale Prices YoY averaged 4.17%, vs 3.23% in the prior 3-month window. Wholesale Prices YoY is now the highest in 33 months.
Latest Release
4.8
Actual
5.6
Consensus
4.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.51 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 5.88
Actual: 4.8
Error: +1.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Wholesale Prices YoY (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 4.8% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 5.6% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.06%, ranging from 2.1% to 4.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.23%, up from the prior three at 3.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.91%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.75%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Wholesale Prices YoY has averaged 3.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Wholesale Prices YoY - SA
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About Wholesale Prices YoY — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Wholesale Prices YoY is a financial indicator that measures the annual change in the prices of goods sold in bulk by manufacturers and wholesalers. It provides valuable insights into the overall inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by businesses, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in wholesale prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an important tool for assessing the health of the economy and predicting future trends in consumer prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.8 %, consensus 5.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.6 %. Before that (May 2026): 4.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.43) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SA Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:50 | SA | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -4.8 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.50 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 05:00 | SA | Bank Lending YoY | 6.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 6.95 | Low |