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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Consumer Confidence climbed to 97.1% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden Consumer Confidence climbed to 97.1% in July 2026, up 2.9% from June's 94.2% reading. The reading matched the 93.0% consensus. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 93.0%, vs 94.33% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
97.1
Actual
93
Consensus
94.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.78 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 94
Actual: 97.1
Error: -3.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.66 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Sweden) was reported at 97.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 93% by 4.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 94.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 94.81%, ranging from 91.1% to 97.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 94.37%, down from the prior three at 95.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.86%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.9%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 94.8%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.78%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SE
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About Consumer Confidence — Sweden
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 97.1 %, consensus 93 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 93.6 %. Before that (May 2026): 92.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish EUR, r=0.86) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales YoY | 6.6 | 8.1 | 5.1 | 5.85 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Economic Tendency Indicator | 104.7 | 102.1 | 101.1 | 102.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Confidence | 97.1 | 94.2 | 93 | 95.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Business Confidence | 106.3 | 104.1 | 103 | 104.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | SE | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 5.55 | Low |