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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Consumer Confidence climbed to 92.4% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Sweden Consumer Confidence climbed to 92.4% in May 2026, up 0.7% from April's 91.7% reading. The reading matched the 90.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 9.3%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 93.35%, vs 95.8% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 31st percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
92.4
Actual
90
Consensus
91.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.78 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 90.5
Actual: 92.4
Error: -1.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | INDEX | Bearish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Sweden) was reported at 92.4% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 90% by 2.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 91.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 93.41%, ranging from 84.6% to 96.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 94.63%, down from the prior three at 95.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.45%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.33%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 88.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/SEK (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.78%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SE
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About Consumer Confidence — Sweden
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 92.4 %, consensus 90 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 91.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 95.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/SEK (Bullish USD, r=0.68) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.