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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF YoY climbed to 1.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Sweden CPIF YoY climbed to 1.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.7% from April's 0.8% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.68%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF YoY averaged 1.26%, vs 1.93% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 11th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.5
Consensus
0.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.01 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.5
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Bearish DAX | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Bearish FTSE 100 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Bearish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF YoY (Sweden) was reported at 1.5% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.5% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.41%, ranging from 0.8% to 3.3% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.27%, down from the prior three at 1.8%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.51%). In June readings over the past 3 years, CPIF YoY has averaged 1.98%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, negatively correlated (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPIF YoY - SE
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About CPIF YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF YoY stands for Consumer Price Index, excluding food and energy, year-over-year. It is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors, over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to track inflation and assess the overall health of the economy. A higher CPIF YoY indicates an increase in consumer prices, while a lower CPIF YoY suggests a decrease in prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.