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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF YoY held to 0.7% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Sweden CPIF YoY held to 0.7% in August 2026, released September 2026. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.18%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF YoY averaged 0.94%, vs 1.3% in the prior 3-month window. CPIF YoY is now the lowest in 18 months.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.7
Consensus
0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 0.71
Actual: 0.7
Error: +0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF YoY (Sweden) was reported at 0.7% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.7% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.8%, ranging from 0.7% to 3.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.7%, down from the prior three at 1.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.82%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.61%). In September readings over the past 3 years, CPIF YoY has averaged 1.82%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, negatively correlated (Bearish FTSE 100). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.04%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CPIF YoY - SE
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About CPIF YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF YoY stands for Consumer Price Index, excluding food and energy, year-over-year. It is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors, over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to track inflation and assess the overall health of the economy. A higher CPIF YoY indicates an increase in consumer prices, while a lower CPIF YoY suggests a decrease in prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |