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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden CPIF YoY climbed to 1.5% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden CPIF YoY climbed to 1.5% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.8% from August's 0.7% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.09%. Over the past 3 months, CPIF YoY averaged 0.86%, vs 1.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 27th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.5
Actual
1.5
Consensus
0.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.05 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 1.49
Actual: 1.5
Error: -0.01
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPIF YoY (Sweden) was reported at 1.5% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 1.5% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.65%, ranging from 0.7% to 3.1% across 21 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.23%, up from the prior three at 0.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.7%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.58%). In October readings over the past 3 years, CPIF YoY has averaged 2.06%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.05%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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CPIF YoY - SE
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About CPIF YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
CPIF YoY stands for Consumer Price Index, excluding food and energy, year-over-year. It is a financial indicator that measures the change in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the volatile food and energy sectors, over a 12-month period. This indicator is used by economists and policymakers to track inflation and assess the overall health of the economy. A higher CPIF YoY indicates an increase in consumer prices, while a lower CPIF YoY suggests a decrease in prices.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 1.5 %, consensus 1.5 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |