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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Economic Tendency Indicator climbed to 105.1 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Economic Tendency Indicator climbed to 105.1 in August 2026, up 0.5 from July's 104.6 reading. The reading matched the 104 consensus. Economic Tendency Indicator has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Economic Tendency Indicator averaged 103.2, vs 99.4 in the prior 3-month window. Economic Tendency Indicator is now the highest in 27 months.
Latest Release
105.1
Actual
104
Consensus
104.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.76
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 105.63
Actual: 105.1
Error: +0.53
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Economic Tendency Indicator (Sweden) was reported at 105.10 in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 104.00 by 1.10. The reading rose from the previous value of 104.60. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 101.56, ranging from 97.20 to 105.10 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 103.83, up from the prior three at 99.77. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.31) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.54). In August readings over the past 3 years, Economic Tendency Indicator has averaged 98.60.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.76.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Economic Tendency Indicator - SE
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About Economic Tendency Indicator — Sweden
DEFINITION
The Economic Tendency Indicator is a key financial indicator that measures the overall sentiment and expectations of businesses and consumers towards the current and future economic conditions. It provides valuable insights into the health of the economy and can help inform decision-making for investors, policymakers, and businesses. This indicator is based on a comprehensive survey of various economic factors and is considered a reliable gauge of the economic climate.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 105.1, consensus 104. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 104.7. Before that (Jun 2026): 101.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.80) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |