Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product MoM fell to -0.7% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product MoM fell to -0.7% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 1.9% from August's 1.2% reading. The reading missed the 0.3% consensus by 1.0%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.18%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product MoM averaged 0.15%, vs 0.4% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 17th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.7
Actual
0.3
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.82 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.3
Actual: -0.7
Error: +1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.87 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product MoM (Sweden) was reported at -0.7% in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.3% by 1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.03%, ranging from -1.1% to 1.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.13%, down from the prior three at 0.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.77%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.71%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Gross Domestic Product MoM has averaged 0.35%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Gross Domestic Product MoM - SE
Loading chart data...
About Gross Domestic Product MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product MoM contracted by -0.700000% in September, missing the 0.300000% estimate and reversing August's 1.200000% expansion. This marks a sharp downturn from August's growth, signaling a notable economic slowdown. Market focus will shift to upcoming data releases and the Riksbank's monetary policy stance amid this unexpected contraction. Updated 10/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -0.7 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1.1 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.87) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |