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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Gross Domestic Product MoM fell to 0.5% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Sweden Gross Domestic Product MoM fell to 0.5% in April 2026, released June 2026, down 1.0% from March's 1.5% reading. The reading matched the 0.5% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.19%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product MoM averaged 0.95%, vs -0.27% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.5
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.67 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.5
Actual: 0.5
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.5% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.5% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.05%, ranging from -1.1% to 1.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.4%, down from the prior three at 0.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/SEK (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.68%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product MoM - SE
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About Gross Domestic Product MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Gross Domestic Product MoM rose 0.500000% in May, matching estimates but down sharply from April's 1.500000%. The slowdown signals a deceleration in monthly economic growth after a strong rebound. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and Riksbank policy signals. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0.5 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/SEK (Bullish USD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.