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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Lending Growth YoY climbed to 3.3% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Household Lending Growth YoY climbed to 3.3% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.1% from June's 3.2% reading. The print exceeded the 3.1% consensus by 0.2%. Household Lending Growth YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Household Lending Growth YoY averaged 3.15%, vs 3.03% in the prior 3-month window. Household Lending Growth YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
3.3
Actual
3.1
Consensus
3.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.11 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 3.05
Actual: 3.3
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Lending Growth YoY (Sweden) was reported at 3.3% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.1% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.97%, ranging from 2.7% to 3.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.2%, up from the prior three at 3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.17%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.54%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Household Lending Growth YoY has averaged 2.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.11%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Household Lending Growth YoY - SE
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About Household Lending Growth YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Lending Growth YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of loans and credit extended to households. This metric provides valuable insights into the growth and stability of consumer borrowing, which is a key driver of economic activity. It is often used by financial institutions, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of the consumer credit market and make informed decisions. A positive growth in household lending indicates a strong demand for credit and potential economic growth, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown in consumer spending and economic activity.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.3 %, consensus 3.1 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 3.2 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50, r=-0.48) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.44 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.65 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |