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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Household Lending Growth YoY climbed to 3.4% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden Household Lending Growth YoY climbed to 3.4% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from August's 3.3% reading. The reading matched the 3.4% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.03%. Over the past 3 months, Household Lending Growth YoY averaged 3.3%, vs 3.1% in the prior 3-month window. Household Lending Growth YoY is now the highest in 36 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
3.4
Consensus
3.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 3.48
Actual: 3.4
Error: +0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Household Lending Growth YoY (Sweden) was reported at 3.4% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 3.4% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.08%, ranging from 2.8% to 3.4% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.33%, up from the prior three at 3.1%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.46%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Household Lending Growth YoY has averaged 2.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/SEK (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Household Lending Growth YoY - SE
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About Household Lending Growth YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Household Lending Growth YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the amount of loans and credit extended to households. This metric provides valuable insights into the growth and stability of consumer borrowing, which is a key driver of economic activity. It is often used by financial institutions, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of the consumer credit market and make informed decisions. A positive growth in household lending indicates a strong demand for credit and potential economic growth, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown in consumer spending and economic activity.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 3.4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/SEK (Bearish USD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |