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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Industrial Production MoM fell to -6.6% in October 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2025
Sweden Industrial Production MoM fell to -6.6% in October 2025, released December 2025, down 11.6% from September's 5.0% reading. The reading missed the -2.0% consensus by 4.6%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.72%. Industrial Production MoM is now the lowest in 8 months.
Latest Release
-6.6
Actual
-2
Consensus
5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.57 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: 4.2
Error: -3.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.88 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Sweden) was reported at -5.7% in March 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.42%, ranging from -6.6% to 6.5% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -2.7%, down from the prior three at 1.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.35%) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.18%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/SEK (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 4.58%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - SE
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About Industrial Production MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.2 %, consensus 0.9 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 5.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/SEK (Bullish EUR, r=0.88) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.