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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden New Orders YoY climbed to 6.3% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Sweden New Orders YoY climbed to 6.3% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 13.5% from March's -7.2% reading. The print exceeded the -3.0% consensus by 9.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 3.18%. Over the past 3 months, New Orders YoY averaged -3.15%, vs 1.45% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 67th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.3
Actual
-3
Consensus
-7.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.1 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -3
Actual: 6.3
Error: -9.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Orders YoY (Sweden) was reported at 6.3% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -3% by 9.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of -7.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.67%, ranging from -3.9% to 12.1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.07%, down from the prior three at 8.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.17%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.61%). In June readings over the past 3 years, New Orders YoY has averaged -0.83%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.1%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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New Orders YoY - SE
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About New Orders YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
New Orders YoY is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of orders placed by customers in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. It provides valuable insights into the demand for goods and services, and can help businesses and investors make informed decisions about future sales and revenue projections. This indicator is often used in conjunction with other economic data to assess the overall health of an economy and the performance of specific industries.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 6.3 %, consensus -3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): -7.3 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.