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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.1% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden Producer Price Index MoM fell to 0.1% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.2% from May's 1.3% reading. The print exceeded the -0.6% consensus by 0.7%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.58%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 1.2%, vs 1.07% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the lowest in 8 months.
Latest Release
0.1
Actual
-0.6
Consensus
1.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -0.3
Actual: 0.1
Error: -0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Sweden) was reported at 0.1% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.6% by 0.7%. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.76%, ranging from -0.7% to 2.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.83%, down from the prior three at 1.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.81%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.43%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/SEK, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - SE
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Producer Price Index MoM rose 0.10% in June, beating the -0.60% estimate. This marks a sharp slowdown from May's 1.30% increase, signaling a significant deceleration in producer price inflation. The subdued reading may temper expectations for aggressive central bank tightening ahead of upcoming inflation data. Updated 7/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 0.1 %, consensus -0.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.58) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | SE | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 58.3 | 57 | 57.85 | Low | |