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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 3.4% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden Producer Price Index MoM climbed to 3.4% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.5% from August's 0.9% reading. The print exceeded the 0.3% consensus by 3.1%. Producer Price Index MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index MoM averaged 0.5%, vs 0.83% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index MoM is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
3.4
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.5 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.27
Actual: 3.4
Error: -3.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index MoM (Sweden) was reported at 3.4% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.3% by 3.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.11%, ranging from 0.1% to 3.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.47%, up from the prior three at 0.83%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.02%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.33%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.5%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index MoM - SE
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About Producer Price Index MoM — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Producer Price Index MoM surged to 3.400000% in October, sharply beating the 0.300000% estimate. This marks a significant acceleration from September's 0.900000%, indicating a strong upward trend in producer prices. The sharp increase may influence market expectations and monetary policy considerations ahead of upcoming inflation data. Updated 10/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.4 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.9 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.58) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |