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Sweden Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 4.7% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 2.7% from March's 2.0% reading. The print exceeded the 4.3% consensus by 0.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
across last 12 releases
May 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Producer Price Index YoY (Sweden) was reported at 4.7% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.3% by 0.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.67%, ranging from -3.1% to 4.7% across 10 releases.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.33%, up from the prior three at -0.17%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/SEK (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.49%.
The next release is scheduled for June 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Riksbank Rate Decision (Jun 17) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Sweden's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 4.700% in May, beating the 4.300% estimate and up sharply from April's 2.000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation, reversing the prior months of subdued or negative growth. Market focus will remain on how this surge influences the Riksbank's monetary policy stance amid rising cost pressures. Updated 5/26/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.7 %, consensus 4.3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2 %. Before that (Feb 2026): -1.7 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | Riksbank Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | Medium | ||
| 07:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.75 | Medium | ||