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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 11.2% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Sweden Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 11.2% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 4.4% from August's 6.8% reading. The print exceeded the 7.8% consensus by 3.4%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 6.6%, vs 6.23% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 20 months.
Latest Release
11.2
Actual
7.8
Consensus
6.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.56 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 7.77
Actual: 11.2
Error: -3.42
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Sweden) was reported at 11.2% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.8% by 3.4%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.84%, ranging from -2% to 11.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8.13%, up from the prior three at 6.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.41%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.3%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.56%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SE
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 11.200000% in October, sharply exceeding the 7.800000% estimate and rising from September's 6.800000%. This marks a significant acceleration in producer inflation, indicating mounting cost pressures in the Swedish economy. Market participants will closely watch upcoming inflation data and central bank signals amid this unexpected jump. Updated 10/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 11.2 %, consensus 7.8 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 6.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:30 | SE | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 58.1 | 57.4 | 57.40 | Low | |