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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Producer Price Index YoY fell to 6.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Sweden Producer Price Index YoY fell to 6.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 1.0% from June's 7.4% reading. The reading missed the 6.9% consensus by 0.5%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.01%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 7.0%, vs 1.67% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 86th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.4
Actual
6.9
Consensus
7.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.56 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 7.33
Actual: 6.4
Error: +0.92
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Sweden) was reported at 6.4% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of 6.9% by 0.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 7.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.02%, ranging from -2% to 7.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 6.8%, up from the prior three at 0.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.61%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.58%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.56%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SE
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 6.400000%, missing the 6.900000% estimate for August. This marks a decline from July's 7.400000%, indicating a slowdown in producer price inflation. The softer reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming monetary policy decisions. Updated 8/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 6.4 %, consensus 6.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 7.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 6.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF MoM | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | CPIF YoY | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:00 | SE | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | SE | Employed Persons | 5.507 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Unemployment Rate | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption MoM | 1.6 | -0.9 | -0.90 | Low | |
| 06:00 | SE | Household Consumption YoY | 4.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |