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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SwedenSweden Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 7.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Sweden Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 7.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.8% from May's 6.6% reading. The print exceeded the 6.6% consensus by 0.8%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 6 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 5.65%, vs -0.57% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
7.4
Actual
6.6
Consensus
6.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.56 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 6.93
Actual: 7.4
Error: -0.48
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/SEK | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (Sweden) was reported at 7.4% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 6.6% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.32%, ranging from -2% to 7.4% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 6.23%, up from the prior three at -1.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.36%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.79%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.56%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CPI YoY (Aug 6) and CPI MoM (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SE
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About Producer Price Index YoY — Sweden
DEFINITION
Sweden's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 7.400000% in July, beating the 6.600000% estimate and previous June reading of 6.600000%. This marks a continued acceleration in producer inflation from June to July. The stronger-than-expected increase may influence market expectations on Sweden's monetary policy tightening. Updated 7/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 7.4 %, consensus 6.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 6.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 4.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SE Events
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | SE | Swedbank Manufacturing PMI | 58.3 | 57 | 57.85 | Low | |