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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SloveniaSlovenia Consumer Confidence fell to -22.0% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Slovenia Consumer Confidence fell to -22.0% in August 2026, down 2.0% from July's -20.0% reading. The reading missed the -20.0% consensus by 2.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -24.58%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -19.5%, vs -27.33% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-22
Actual
-20
Consensus
-20
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.83 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -17.5
Actual: -22
Error: +4.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Slovenia) was reported at -22% in August 2026. This missed the market consensus of -20% by 2%. The reading fell from the previous value of -20%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -23%, ranging from -28% to -19% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -20.33%, up from the prior three at -24%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.49%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.83%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -24.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 22, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SI
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About Consumer Confidence — Slovenia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -22 %, consensus -20 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -19 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -20 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.69) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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