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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SloveniaSlovenia Consumer Confidence climbed to -19.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Slovenia Consumer Confidence climbed to -19.0% in July 2026, up 1.0% from June's -20.0% reading. The print exceeded the -21.0% consensus by 2.0%. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -24.0%, vs -25.33% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
-19
Actual
-21
Consensus
-20
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.83 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -18.38
Actual: -19
Error: +0.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.80 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Slovenia) was reported at -19% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -21% by 2%. The reading rose from the previous value of -20%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -23.5%, ranging from -28% to -19% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -22.33%, up from the prior three at -22.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.73%) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.1%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -23.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 21, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SI
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About Consumer Confidence — Slovenia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -19 %, consensus -21 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -20 %. Before that (May 2026): -28 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.80) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SI Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 | SI | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.15 | Low |
| 08:30 | SI | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.30 | Low |
| 08:30 | SI | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 3.20 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | SI | Balance of Trade | -1154.1 | -780 | -1742.30 | Low | |