Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Balance of Trade fell to 76M in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Slovakia Balance of Trade fell to 76M in April 2026, released June 2026, down 456.2M from March's 532.2M reading. The reading missed the 94.4M consensus by 18.4M. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 296.29M. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade averaged 293.33M, vs 171.05M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 23rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
76
Actual
94.4
Consensus
532.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±129.38 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 11
Actual: 76
Error: -65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Balance of Trade (Slovakia) was reported at 76.00 million in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 94.40 million by 18.40 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 532.20 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 256.92 million, ranging from -162.70 million to 560.80 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -39.93 million, down from the prior three at 430.13 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 246.26 million) is lower than the prior year (σ 339.66 million). In June readings over the past 3 years, Balance of Trade has averaged 180.50 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 129.38 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 8, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
Balance of Trade - SK
Loading chart data...
About Balance of Trade — Slovakia
DEFINITION
The Balance of Trade is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is running a trade surplus or deficit. A positive balance of trade indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative balance of trade suggests the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 76 M, consensus 94.4 M. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 591.5 M. Before that (Feb 2026): 321.6 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.