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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Consumer Confidence climbed to -22.1% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Slovakia Consumer Confidence climbed to -22.1% in October 2026, up 3.6% from September's -25.7% reading. The print exceeded the -26.4% consensus by 4.3%. Consumer Confidence has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -26.85%, vs -27.67% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
-22.1
Actual
-26.4
Consensus
-25.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.48 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -25.88
Actual: -22.1
Error: -3.77
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Slovakia) was reported at -22.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of -26.4% by 4.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of -25.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -25.97%, ranging from -28.3% to -22.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -25.27%, up from the prior three at -27.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.12%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.21%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -21.3%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.48%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 27, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SK
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About Consumer Confidence — Slovakia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual -22.1 %, consensus -26.4 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -25.7 %. Before that (Aug 2026): -28 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.65) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SK Events
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 08:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low | |