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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia Consumer Confidence fell to -27.4% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Slovakia Consumer Confidence fell to -27.4% in July 2026, down 0.1% from June's -27.3% reading. The reading matched the -26.4% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -25.29%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged -27.8%, vs -26.87% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 13th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-27.4
Actual
-26.4
Consensus
-27.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.01 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -26.3
Actual: -27.4
Error: +1.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Slovakia) was reported at -27.4% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of -26.4% by 1%. The reading fell from the previous value of -27.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -25.4%, ranging from -28.3% to -22.3% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -27.67%, down from the prior three at -26.63%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.19%) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.15%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged -20.37%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.01%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 28, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - SK
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About Consumer Confidence — Slovakia
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -27.4 %, consensus -26.4 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -27.3 %. Before that (May 2026): -28.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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