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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
El SalvadorEl Salvador Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.18% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
El Salvador Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 3.18% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.4% from May's 2.78% reading. The print exceeded the 2.8% consensus by 0.38%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.91%, vs 1.29% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 17 months.
Latest Release
3.18
Actual
2.8
Consensus
2.78
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.3 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 3.04
Actual: 3.18
Error: -0.14
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (El Salvador) was reported at 3.18% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 2.8% by 0.38%. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.78%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.75%, ranging from 1.18% to 3.18% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.52%, up from the prior three at 1.28%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.72%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.62%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — El Salvador
DEFINITION
El Salvador's Producer Price Index YoY rose to 3.18% in July, beating the 2.80% estimate and up from June's 2.78%. This marks a continued acceleration in producer price inflation, signaling rising input costs across the economy. Market participants will watch for central bank responses amid persistent inflation pressures. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.18 %, consensus 2.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.78 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 1.59 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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