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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
El SalvadorEl Salvador Producer Price Index YoY fell to 3.52% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
El Salvador Producer Price Index YoY fell to 3.52% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.02% from July's 3.54% reading. The reading missed the 3.8% consensus by 0.28%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.77%. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 3.36%, vs 1.91% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 92nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
3.52
Actual
3.8
Consensus
3.54
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.32 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 3.98
Actual: 3.52
Error: +0.46
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (El Salvador) was reported at 3.52% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.8% by 0.28%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.54%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.2%, ranging from 1.18% to 3.54% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.41%, up from the prior three at 1.91%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.97%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.63%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.32%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — El Salvador
DEFINITION
El Salvador's Producer Price Index YoY came in at 3.520000% for August, missing the 3.800000% estimate. This represents a slight decline from July's 3.540000%, indicating a modest easing in producer price inflation. Market focus remains on upcoming inflation data and central bank policy amid this gradual deceleration. Updated 9/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.52 %, consensus 3.8 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.54 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.18 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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