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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
El SalvadorEl Salvador Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.78% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
El Salvador Producer Price Index YoY climbed to 2.78% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.19% from April's 1.59% reading. The print exceeded the 1.9% consensus by 0.88%. Producer Price Index YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Producer Price Index YoY averaged 1.47%, vs 1.29% in the prior 3-month window. Producer Price Index YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
2.78
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.59
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.32 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.94
Actual: 2.78
Error: -0.83
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Producer Price Index YoY (El Salvador) was reported at 2.78% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.88%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.59%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.52%, ranging from 1.18% to 2.78% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.91%, up from the prior three at 1.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.49%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.59%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.32%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 9, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Producer Price Index YoY - SV
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About Producer Price Index YoY — El Salvador
DEFINITION
SV's Producer Price Index YoY surged to 2.780% in June, well above the 1.900% estimate and up from May's 1.590%. This sharp acceleration signals rising inflationary pressures in the producer sector compared to the previous month. Market participants will closely watch upcoming data for further inflation trends amid evolving monetary policy considerations. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 2.78 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.59 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.35 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.68) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.