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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Consumer Confidence fell to 52.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Thailand Consumer Confidence fell to 52.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 1.1% from August's 53.2% reading. The reading matched the 51.1% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.4%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 52.42%, vs 50.18% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 49th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
52.1
Actual
51.1
Consensus
53.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.89 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 51.58
Actual: 52.1
Error: -0.52
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Thailand) was reported at 52.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 51.1% by 1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 53.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.73%, ranging from 49.5% to 53.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 52.37%, up from the prior three at 49.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.41%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.87%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 52.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.89%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - TH
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About Consumer Confidence — Thailand
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 52.1 %, consensus 51.1 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 52.1 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 53.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:00 | TH | Industrial Production YoY | 2.05 | 4.44 | 2.8 | 2.42 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 21.6 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 10.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -1.6 | 2.4 | 0.97 | -0.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | -2.2 | 0.4 | -0.6 | -1.40 | Low |
| 10:20 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | 15.2 | -5.9 | -9 | 3.10 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 54.5 | 55.35 | Low | |