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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Consumer Confidence fell to 49.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Thailand Consumer Confidence fell to 49.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.1% from April's 50.6% reading. The reading matched the 49.7% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 4.7%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 50.86%, vs 53.4% in the prior 3-month window. Consumer Confidence is now the lowest in 28 months.
Latest Release
49.5
Actual
49.7
Consensus
50.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.14 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 51
Actual: 49.5
Error: +1.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Bearish Hang Seng | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/THB | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Thailand) was reported at 49.5% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 49.7% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 50.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.49%, ranging from 49.5% to 53.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 49.87%, down from the prior three at 53.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.43%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.41%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 53.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - TH
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About Consumer Confidence — Thailand
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 49.5 %, consensus 49.7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 49.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 50.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.