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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand Consumer Confidence climbed to 50.7% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Thailand Consumer Confidence climbed to 50.7% in June 2026, released July 2026, up 1.2% from May's 49.5% reading. The reading matched the 50.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 2.0%. Over the past 3 months, Consumer Confidence averaged 50.05%, vs 52.76% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 25th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
50.7
Actual
50
Consensus
49.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.14 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 50.6
Actual: 50.7
Error: -0.1
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Consumer Confidence (Thailand) was reported at 50.7% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 50% by 0.7%. The reading rose from the previous value of 49.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.31%, ranging from 49.5% to 53.7% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 49.9%, down from the prior three at 52.37%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.39%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.68%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Consumer Confidence has averaged 54.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Consumer Confidence - TH
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About Consumer Confidence — Thailand
DEFINITION
Index The Consumer Confidence Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among consumers regarding the state of the economy. It is based on surveys and data collected from a representative sample of households, and is used by economists and investors to gauge consumer spending patterns and overall economic health. A higher index value indicates a positive outlook, while a lower value suggests a more negative sentiment. This index is a valuable tool for businesses and policymakers in making informed decisions and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 50.7 %, consensus 50 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 49.5 %. Before that (May 2026): 49.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TH | Current Account | -3.5 | -6.4 | 1.6 | -0.95 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Investment MoM | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2 | 1.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | TH | Private Consumption MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.90 | Low |
| 07:30 | TH | Retail Sales YoY | -14.5 | -20 | -13 | -13.75 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.6 | 52.5 | 52.85 | Low | |