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Thailand CPI fell to 0.56 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.04 from January's 0.6 reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.5 consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.14. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 0.16, vs -0.66 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 43rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/THB | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 0.6. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.05. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/THB (Bearish USD) and positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Medium | ||
| 02:30 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 02:30 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.95 | Medium | ||
| 02:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.90 | Low | ||