Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Auto Production YoY climbed to 5.1% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Turkey Auto Production YoY climbed to 5.1% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 3.6% from August's 1.5% reading. The print exceeded the 4.0% consensus by 1.1%. Auto Production YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Auto Production YoY averaged -8.85%, vs -4.0% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 62nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5.1
Actual
4
Consensus
1.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.22 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -0.17
Actual: 5.1
Error: -5.27
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Auto Production YoY (Turkey) was reported at 5.1% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4% by 1.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.89%, ranging from -32.8% to 15.5% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -4.2%, down from the prior three at -4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 13.27%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 14.72%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Auto Production YoY has averaged -0.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/TRY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.23%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 16, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Nov 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Auto Production YoY - TR
Loading chart data...
About Auto Production YoY — Turkey
DEFINITION
Auto Production YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the production of automobiles. It provides insight into the growth or decline of the automotive industry and can be used to assess the overall health of the economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can impact consumer spending, employment, and trade. A positive YoY change in auto production indicates a strong and growing industry, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 5.1 %, consensus 4 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 1.5 %. Before that (Jul 2026): -19.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Economic Confidence Index | 97.3 | 101.3 | 101 | 99.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | TR | Tourism Revenues | 25.5 | 15.9 | 27 | 26.25 | Low |
| 08:00 | TR | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 0.4 | -0.03 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48 | 48.10 | Low | |