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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Auto Sales YoY fell to -22.5% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Turkey Auto Sales YoY fell to -22.5% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 21.5% from April's -1.0% reading. The reading missed the 2.0% consensus by 24.5%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 9.26%. Over the past 3 months, Auto Sales YoY averaged -6.85%, vs 6.47% in the prior 3-month window. Auto Sales YoY is now the lowest in 31 months.
Latest Release
-22.5
Actual
2
Consensus
-1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±9.99 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 2
Actual: -22.5
Error: +24.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Sales YoY (Turkey) was reported at -22.5% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 24.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of -1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.07%, ranging from -22.5% to 25.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -5.23%, down from the prior three at 13.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 12.61%) is lower than the prior year (σ 14.63%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Auto Sales YoY has averaged -8.4%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 9.99%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Jun 30) and Unemployment Rate (Jun 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Auto Sales YoY - TR
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About Auto Sales YoY — Turkey
DEFINITION
Auto Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of vehicles sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the health and growth of the automotive market and can provide valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in demand for vehicles, while a negative YoY growth may suggest a decline in sales. Auto Sales YoY is a key indicator for investors, analysts, and businesses in the automotive industry to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -22.5 %, consensus 2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -12.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.59) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Monday, June 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Consumer Confidence | 87.9 | 85.8 | 86 | 86.97 | Medium |
| 08:00 | TR | Tourist Arrivals YoY | -3.58 | -9.44 | -2 | -3.67 | Low |
| 14:30 | TR | Central Government Debt | 14.989 | 14.765 | 15.104 | 15.00 | Low |