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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Auto Sales YoY climbed to -20.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Turkey Auto Sales YoY climbed to -20.3% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 4.7% from July's -25.0% reading. The reading missed the -15.0% consensus by 5.3%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 1.21%. Over the past 3 months, Auto Sales YoY averaged -18.2%, vs -12.07% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-20.3
Actual
-15
Consensus
-25
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±6.53 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: -14.85
Actual: -20.3
Error: +5.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Sales YoY (Turkey) was reported at -20.3% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of -15% by 5.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of -25%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.49%, ranging from -25% to 25.7% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -18.9%, down from the prior three at -5.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 17.51%) is higher than the prior year (σ 14.26%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Auto Sales YoY has averaged -2.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 6.53%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Oct 21) and Consumer Confidence (Oct 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Auto Sales YoY - TR
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About Auto Sales YoY — Turkey
DEFINITION
Auto Sales YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the number of vehicles sold by a company or industry over a 12-month period. This metric is used to assess the health and growth of the automotive market and can provide valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends. A positive YoY growth indicates an increase in demand for vehicles, while a negative YoY growth may suggest a decline in sales. Auto Sales YoY is a key indicator for investors, analysts, and businesses in the automotive industry to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -20.3 %, consensus -15 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -25 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -11.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Friday, October 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Industrial Production MoM | -1 | -0.9 | 0.4 | -0.27 | Low |
| 07:00 | TR | Industrial Production YoY | -1.9 | -0.2 | -1 | -2.50 | Medium |
| Monday, October 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Retail Sales YoY | 10.4 | 9.9 | 9.90 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.2 | -0.3 | 0.75 | Low | |
| Tuesday, October 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Current Account | 0.036 | 0.4 | 0.15 | Low | |