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Turkey Economic Confidence Index fell to 96.4 in April 2026, down 1.5 from March's 97.9 reading. The reading matched the 97.3 consensus. Economic Confidence Index has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Economic Confidence Index averaged 99.33, vs 99.5 in the prior 3-month window. Economic Confidence Index is now the lowest in 8 months.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| USD/TRY | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 97.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.71. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR) and negatively correlated with USD/TRY (Bearish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | Central Government Debt | 14.447 | 14.5 | 14.50 | Low | ||
| Friday, May 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | Business Confidence | 100.6 | 100.8 | 101.85 | Medium | ||
| 07:00 | Balance of Trade | -8.5 | -11.2 | -8 | -8.25 | Medium | |
| 07:00 | Capacity Utilization | 73.8 | 74.1 | 73.75 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Imports | 33.1 | 29.5 | 29.50 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Exports | 21.9 | 21.5 | 21.50 | Low | ||