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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Exports climbed to 25.97B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Turkey Exports climbed to 25.97B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.52B from August's 23.45B reading. The reading matched the 25.98B consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 24.19B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 24.65B, vs 23.95B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 88th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
25.97
Actual
25.98
Consensus
23.45
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 26.28
Actual: 25.97
Error: +0.31
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports (Turkey) was reported at 25.97 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 25.98 billion by 0.01 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 23.45 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 23.90 billion, ranging from 20.30 billion to 30.10 billion across 24 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 25.14 billion, up from the prior three at 24.90 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.23 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.42 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 23.28 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.45 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Nov 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports - TR
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About Exports — Turkey
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 25.97 B, consensus 25.98 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 25.98 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 23.5 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Economic Confidence Index | 97.3 | 101.3 | 101 | 99.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | TR | Tourism Revenues | 25.5 | 15.9 | 27 | 26.25 | Low |
| 08:00 | TR | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 0.4 | -0.03 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48 | 48.10 | Low | |