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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Exports fell to 23.5B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Turkey Exports fell to 23.5B in August 2026, released September 2026, down 2.1B from July's 25.6B reading. The reading matched the 23B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.7B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 24.42B, vs 24.53B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
23.5
Actual
23
Consensus
25.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.45 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 23.05
Actual: 23.5
Error: -0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports (Turkey) was reported at 23.50 billion in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 23.00 billion by 0.50 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 25.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 23.54 billion, ranging from 20.30 billion to 30.10 billion across 24 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 24.90 billion, up from the prior three at 23.30 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.20 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.45 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 22.16 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.45 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Exports - TR
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About Exports — Turkey
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 23.5 B, consensus 23 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 23.5 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 25.6 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | |