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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Exports fell to 22.5B in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Turkey Exports fell to 22.5B in May 2026, released June 2026, down 2.9B from April's 25.4B reading. The reading matched the 22.8B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is down 2.3B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 23.42B, vs 23.25B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 45th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
22.5
Actual
22.8
Consensus
25.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.48 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 22.36
Actual: 22.5
Error: -0.14
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Exports (Turkey) was reported at 22.50 billion in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 22.80 billion by 0.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 25.40 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 23.18 billion, ranging from 20.30 billion to 30.10 billion across 25 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 23.47 billion, down from the prior three at 24.63 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.21 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.53 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 23.80 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.48 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jul 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jul 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports - TR
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About Exports — Turkey
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 22.5 B, consensus 22.8 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 22.5 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 25.4 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Tuesday, June 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Balance of Trade | -5.6 | -8.5 | -7.7 | -8.07 | Medium |
| 07:00 | TR | Exports | 22.5 | 25.4 | 22.8 | 22.32 | Low |