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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Imports climbed to 31.13B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Turkey Imports climbed to 31.13B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 2.42B from August's 28.71B reading. The reading matched the 31.21B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 1.63B. Over the past 3 months, Imports averaged 31.22B, vs 31.0B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
31.13
Actual
31.21
Consensus
28.71
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.72 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 30.78
Actual: 31.13
Error: -0.35
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TRY | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports (Turkey) was reported at 31.13 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 31.21 billion by 0.08 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 28.71 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 30.84 billion, ranging from 21.00 billion to 35.80 billion across 23 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 30.35 billion, down from the prior three at 31.53 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.13 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.04 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Imports has averaged 29.07 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/TRY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.72 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 4, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Nov 3) and Inflation Rate YoY (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Imports - TR
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About Imports — Turkey
DEFINITION
Imports refer to the goods and services that a country purchases from other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the amount of foreign goods and services that are brought into a country, and is an important factor in determining a country's trade balance and overall economic health. High levels of imports can indicate a strong demand for foreign products, while low levels may suggest a weaker economy or a focus on domestic production. Tracking imports can provide valuable insights into a country's trade relationships and global economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 31.13 B, consensus 31.21 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 31.21 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 28.7 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Economic Confidence Index | 97.3 | 101.3 | 101 | 99.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | TR | Tourism Revenues | 25.5 | 15.9 | 27 | 26.25 | Low |
| 08:00 | TR | Tourist Arrivals YoY | 0.4 | -0.03 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | TR | Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing PMI | 47.9 | 48 | 48.10 | Low | |