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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TurkeyTurkey Imports fell to 28.7B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Turkey Imports fell to 28.7B in August 2026, released September 2026, down 4.2B from July's 32.9B reading. The reading matched the 30B consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 30.96B. Over the past 3 months, Imports averaged 31.6B, vs 30.53B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 23rd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
28.7
Actual
30
Consensus
32.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.98 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 29.49
Actual: 28.7
Error: +0.79
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/TRY | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Imports (Turkey) was reported at 28.70 billion in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 30.00 billion by 1.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 32.90 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 30.57 billion, ranging from 21.00 billion to 35.80 billion across 23 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 31.53 billion, up from the prior three at 30.50 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.28 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.07 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Imports has averaged 26.74 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/TRY, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.98 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Sep 21) and Consumer Confidence (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Imports - TR
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About Imports — Turkey
DEFINITION
Imports refer to the goods and services that a country purchases from other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the amount of foreign goods and services that are brought into a country, and is an important factor in determining a country's trade balance and overall economic health. High levels of imports can indicate a strong demand for foreign products, while low levels may suggest a weaker economy or a focus on domestic production. Tracking imports can provide valuable insights into a country's trade relationships and global economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 28.7 B, consensus 30 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 28.7 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 33 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.45) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TR Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Production YoY | -19.2 | -11 | -28.65 | Low | |
| 07:00 | TR | Auto Sales YoY | -25 | -15 | -27.25 | Low | |