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Retail Sales MoM climbed to 2.6 in March 2026, up 2.8 from February's -0.2 reading. The print exceeded the 0.1 consensus by 2.5. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.33. Retail Sales MoM is now the highest in 9 months.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of -0.2. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/TRY (Bearish USD) and negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 21.2 | 15.6 | 13.2 | 15.97 | Low | |
| 07:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 2.6 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 1.03 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | Current Account | -7.501 | -9.6 | -11.03 | Low | ||