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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
UkraineUkraine Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 51.3B in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves climbed to 51.3B in June 2026, released July 2026, up 5.6B from May's 45.7B reading. The reading missed the 54.2B consensus by 2.9B. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 6.2B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 46.95B, vs 54.26B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 80th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
51.3
Actual
54.2
Consensus
45.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.28 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 53.05
Actual: 51.3
Error: +1.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.34 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Ukraine) was reported at 48.70 billion in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 51.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.99 billion, ranging from 45.70 billion to 57.70 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 50.40 billion, down from the prior three at 52.73 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.19 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 2.86 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 45.75 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.28 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - UA
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Ukraine
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 48.7 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 48.7 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 51.2 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.41) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UA Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UA | Interest Rate Decision | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.50 | Low | |