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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
UkraineUkraine Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 45.7B in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Ukraine Foreign Exchange Reserves fell to 45.7B in May 2026, released June 2026, down 2.5B from April's 48.2B reading. The reading matched the 48B consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 51.49B. Over the past 3 months, Foreign Exchange Reserves averaged 49.22B, vs 56.15B in the prior 3-month window. Foreign Exchange Reserves is now the lowest in 9 months.
Latest Release
45.7
Actual
48
Consensus
48.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.49 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 48
Actual: 45.7
Error: +2.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.43 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Foreign Exchange Reserves (Ukraine) was reported at 45.70 billion in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 48.00 billion by 2.30 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 48.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.08 billion, ranging from 43.03 billion to 57.70 billion across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 52.73 billion, down from the prior three at 52.83 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.50 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.03 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Foreign Exchange Reserves has averaged 43.07 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.49 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Foreign Exchange Reserves - UA
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About Foreign Exchange Reserves — Ukraine
DEFINITION
Foreign Exchange Reserves refer to the amount of foreign currency held by a country's central bank. These reserves are used to maintain stability in the country's currency and to fulfill international payment obligations. They serve as a measure of a country's economic strength and ability to withstand external shocks. Foreign Exchange Reserves are an important financial indicator for investors and policymakers, providing insight into a country's monetary policy and its ability to manage its currency.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 45.7 B, consensus 48 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 45.7 B. Before that (Apr 2026): 48.2 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.43) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.