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This economic indicator provides insights into the current economic conditions and helps forecast future trends. The comparison between actual, consensus, and previous values helps analysts understand market expectations and economic momentum.
| Wednesday, April 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.48 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.18 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.22 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.07 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.32 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.33 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -67 | -18 | 27 | 19.00 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | -156 | -21 | 110 | 60.33 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.53 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 4 | 4 | 4.02 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 10.9 | 4.1 | 17.2 | 16.92 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.10 | Low |
| Friday, April 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:25 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.12 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -2 | 2 | -1 | -1.27 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -2.9 | -3.34 | -3.7 | -3.66 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP YoY | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | -0.42 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -2.291 | -2.205 | -3.7 | -3.72 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.27 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.21 | -14.1 | -14.5 | -14.22 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.87 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.48 | Low |
| Wednesday, April 10, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -4 | -10 | -6 | -4.33 | Low |
| Monday, April 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 3.2 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.88 | High |
| 09:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.92 | 7.92 | 7.9 | 7.91 | Low |
| Friday, April 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 50.2 | 49.7 | 50 | 50.40 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | -1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.45 | 1.26 | Medium |
| Thursday, April 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.8 | 53 | 52.9 | 52.80 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.1 | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.20 | High |
| 08:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 10.4 | 14 | 17 | 15.23 | Low |
| Tuesday, April 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60.383 | 56.087 | 56.5 | 57.34 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 2.888 | 0.697 | 1.2 | 1.11 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 1.51 | -1.073 | -0.15 | -0.27 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.378 | 1.77 | 1.6 | 1.58 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.3 | 47.5 | 49.9 | 50.38 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2.47 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 28, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 4.13 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | 1.4 | -2.8 | 1.5 | 1.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Current Account | -21.177 | -18.524 | -21.4 | -21.29 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.28 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 14.6 | 21 | 17 | 19.97 | Low |
| Monday, March 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | 2 | -7 | -15 | -8.83 | Medium |
| Friday, March 22, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -18 | -20 | -17 | -17.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | -0.5 | 0.5 | -0.9 | -1.02 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | -0.4 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -0.88 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | 0.2 | 3.4 | -0.1 | -0.25 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 0 | 3.6 | -0.3 | -0.38 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -21 | -21 | -19 | -19.50 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9 | 29 | 19 | 19.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 69 | 79 | 76.50 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.9 | 47.5 | 47.8 | 48.28 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.4 | 53.8 | 53.8 | 53.60 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.9 | 53 | 53.1 | 53.00 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -7.477 | 17.038 | -1.8 | -2.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -8.401 | 16.114 | -5.95 | -5.66 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 20, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -2.7 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.7 | 0.67 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 4 | 3.5 | 3.47 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.3 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.12 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4.60 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.17 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.48 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.9 | 0.7 | 0.72 | Low |
| Thursday, March 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10 | -18 | -11 | -9.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, March 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.27 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.97 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | -0.3 | 0 | -0.3 | -0.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.421 | -3.319 | -3.1 | -3.06 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | 0.7 | -3.2 | -0.5 | -0.77 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.32 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.38 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -3.129 | -2.603 | -2.3 | -2.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.515 | -13.989 | -15 | -14.72 | High |
| Tuesday, March 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | -21 | 72 | 10 | -39.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20 | 15 | 34 | 26.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.82 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 16.8 | 3.1 | 20.3 | 20.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.73 | Medium |
| Thursday, March 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.92 | 7.92 | 7.95 | 7.96 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.80 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.11 | Medium |
| Wednesday, March 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 49.7 | 48.8 | 49 | 49.40 | Medium |
| Tuesday, March 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53 | 52.9 | 53.3 | 53.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.8 | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.10 | High |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 14 | 8.2 | 15 | 13.23 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.68 | High |
| Friday, March 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.5 | 47 | 47.1 | 47.58 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.2 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.77 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.38 | Medium |
| Thursday, February 29, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -1.086 | -0.854 | 0.2 | 0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.33 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 0.791 | 0.403 | 1.9 | 1.81 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.877 | 1.257 | 1.6 | 1.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 55.227 | 51.506 | 52 | 52.84 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 21 | 20.7 | 15 | 17.97 | Low |
| Monday, February 26, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -7 | -50 | -47 | -40.83 | Medium |
| Friday, February 23, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -21 | -19 | -18 | -18.50 | High |
| Thursday, February 22, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 53.3 | 52.9 | 52.9 | 53.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47.1 | 47 | 47.5 | 47.55 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.1 | 54.32 | High |
| Wednesday, February 21, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -20 | -30 | -27 | -27.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | 17.62 | -6.45 | 18.4 | 18.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 16.69 | -7.37 | 18.7 | 18.99 | Low |
| Friday, February 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | 3.2 | -3.5 | 1.7 | 1.55 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | -2.4 | -1.4 | -1.58 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | 0.7 | -2.1 | -1.6 | -1.72 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 3.4 | -3.3 | 1.5 | 1.42 | High |
| Thursday, February 15, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | -0.1 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -2.603 | -3.723 | -1.9 | -1.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | 1.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.28 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Orders YoY | -30.2 | -20 | 5 | -12.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.52 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.02 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.15 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -3.2 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -1.67 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 | 0.32 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.98 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -0.13 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.319 | -3.747 | -3.1 | -3.06 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -13.989 | -15.125 | -14.9 | -14.62 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | -0.1 | 0.2 | -0.2 | -0.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | 0 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.28 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.33 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | -0.6 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.17 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.2 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -3.3 | -2.1 | -3 | -3.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.8 | -0.78 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | -0.4 | 0 | -0.7 | -0.62 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.20 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.22 | Low |
| Tuesday, February 13, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6 | 6.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 5.8 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 5.63 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 72 | 108 | 73 | 23.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 14.1 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.72 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 48 | 31 | -12 | -20.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4 | 4.02 | High |
| Thursday, February 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -18 | -29 | -25 | -23.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:45 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.96 | 7.96 | 7.91 | 7.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.71 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.60 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 47.3 | 47.88 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 48.8 | 46.8 | 47.3 | 47.70 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.78 | High |
| Monday, February 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.3 | 53.4 | 53.8 | 53.60 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 54.3 | 53.4 | 53.8 | 54.02 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.9 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.68 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.9 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 52.40 | Low |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 8 | 9.8 | 11 | 9.23 | Low |
| Thursday, February 1, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 19 | 9 | 9 | 11.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 69 | 89 | 86.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 29 | 39 | 19 | 19.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 46.2 | 46.9 | 47.38 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47 | 46.2 | 46.9 | 46.95 | High |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | -0.2 | -1.8 | -0.9 | -0.83 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.7 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 0.367 | 2.063 | 1.5 | 1.41 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -0.83 | 0.006 | 0.25 | 0.13 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.197 | 2.058 | 1.35 | 1.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 50.459 | 49.313 | 52.5 | 53.34 | Medium |
| Friday, January 26, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Gfk Consumer Confidence | -19 | -22 | -21 | -21.50 | High |
| Thursday, January 25, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -50 | -32 | -30 | -23.83 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 20.7 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 9.47 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 24, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Business Optimism Index | -3 | -15 | -2 | -2.50 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -30 | -23 | -23 | -23.17 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.2 | 53.42 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 46.2 | 46.7 | 46.75 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.2 | 52.38 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.8 | 53.4 | 53.2 | 53.00 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.2 | 52.10 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 47.3 | 46.2 | 46.7 | 47.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 23, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -7.77 | -13.71 | -14 | -13.71 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -6.85 | -12.78 | -11.2 | -11.55 | Low |
| Friday, January 19, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY | -2.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | -2.4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.92 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM | -3.3 | 1.5 | -0.6 | -0.75 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -3.2 | 1.4 | -0.5 | -0.58 | High |
| Thursday, January 18, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -30 | -41 | -34 | -32.33 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 17, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -2.8 | -2.7 | -1.9 | -2.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.33 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.4 | 0.42 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 4 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.77 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | -0.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.6 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.17 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -1.2 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 16, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 73 | 55 | 50 | 0.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 11.7 | 0.6 | 3 | 2.72 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 6.6 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -24 | 9 | 30 | 22.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 6.5 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 6.83 | Medium |
| Friday, January 12, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.08 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.4 | -1.2 | 0.3 | 0.62 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP MoM | 0.3 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.189 | -15.936 | -15.7 | -15.42 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP YoY | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -1.408 | -3.198 | -4 | -4.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.03 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.3 | -1.3 | 0.3 | 0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.97 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -2.838 | -3.919 | -4.2 | -4.16 | High |
| Tuesday, January 9, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.18 | High |
| Monday, January 8, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 7.96 | 8.03 | 8 | 8.01 | Low |
| Friday, January 5, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI | 46.8 | 45.5 | 46 | 46.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.8 | 45.5 | 46 | 46.40 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 9.8 | 9.5 | 11.1 | 9.33 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Halifax House Price Index YoY | 1.7 | -0.8 | -0.4 | -0.59 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 4, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 50.067 | 47.888 | 48.5 | 49.34 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.4 | 50.9 | 52.7 | 52.50 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | -0.039 | -0.083 | -0.2 | -0.32 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.1 | 50.7 | 51.7 | 51.60 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 1.97 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.91 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI | 52.1 | 50.7 | 51.7 | 51.88 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI | 53.4 | 50.9 | 52.7 | 53.05 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 2.005 | 1.411 | 1.4 | 1.38 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.13 | Low |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2024 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 46.2 | 47.2 | 46.4 | 46.88 | Medium |