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Data from Financial Modeling Prep. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomGoods Trade Balance fell to -18.79 in February 2026
Financial Modeling PrepMonthlyReleased April 2026
Goods Trade Balance fell to -18.79 in February 2026, down 3.71 from January's -15.08 reading. The print exceeded the -20.2 consensus by 1.41. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -21.12. Over the past 3 months, Goods Trade Balance averaged -18.59, vs -21.71 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 69th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-18.79
Actual
-20.2
Consensus
-15.08
Previous
The April 2026 reading fell from the previous value of -15.08. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bearish Euro STOXX 50) and negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
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Goods Trade Balance - UK
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | -3.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.00 | Medium |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.30 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 25 | -20 | -20.00 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | |
| 23:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -23 | -25 | -24.00 | Medium | |
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -0.72 | -3.4 | -2.57 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 2.8 | 2.25 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | -0.5 | 0 | -0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.80 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.5 | 1.1 | -0.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -18.79 | -20.1 | -20.10 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.75 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1 | -2.4 | -2.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Orders YoY | 28.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -7.1 | -9 | -9.00 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.20 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.45 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -1.00 | Low | |