UK GDP YoY: February Print Undershoots Consensus as Growth Momentum Eases

The latest UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) YoY data, released March 13, 2026, shows economic growth decelerating to 0.8% in February. This marks a slowdown from January’s 1.0% and falls short of the 0.9% market estimate. The 12-month average remains higher at 1.22%[1].

Table of Contents

• Big-Picture Snapshot
• Foundational Indicators
• Chart Dynamics
• Forward Outlook
• Closing Thoughts

Chart Dynamics

February’s GDP YoY print of 0.8% marks a further slowdown from January’s 1.0%, extending the downtrend from the 12-month average of 1.22%. The last six months show a steady loss of momentum: November at 1.3%, December at 1.1%, January at 1.0%, and now February at 0.8%. This is the lowest reading since August 2025. The gap between actual and consensus (0.9%) highlights persistent headwinds.

What This Chart Tells Us: The UK’s GDP growth trajectory has softened for four consecutive months, with February’s print undershooting both the prior month and consensus. This pattern signals persistent economic headwinds and a lack of broad-based recovery momentum.

Key Markets Reacting to Gross Domestic Product YoY

UK GDP YoY figures influence a range of asset classes, from equities to currencies. The muted February reading prompted only modest moves, but the underlying trend remains a key input for market participants. Below are symbols with direct or indirect exposure to UK growth dynamics.

• AAPL — Global tech earnings are sensitive to UK consumer and enterprise demand shifts.
• EURUSD — Euro and dollar flows react to UK macro data, influencing cross-Atlantic risk sentiment.
• BTCUSD — Crypto markets track global growth signals, with UK GDP prints shaping risk appetite.

FAQ

What is the latest UK Gross Domestic Product YoY figure?

The UK GDP YoY growth rate for February is 0.8%, down from 1.0% in January and below the 0.9% consensus estimate.

How does the February GDP print compare to recent months?

February’s 0.8% reading continues a four-month deceleration trend, with the 12-month average at 1.22%.

What sectors contributed most to the latest GDP result?

Services and construction provided positive contributions, while manufacturing was a drag on overall growth.

UK GDP YoY growth slowed further in February, reinforcing a cautious outlook for the months ahead.

Updated 3/13/26

This has been drafted with AI assistance and then thoroughly reviewed, refined, and approved by our human editorial team to ensure accuracy, and originality.

1. Sigmanomics database, UK GDP YoY, accessed March 13, 2026.