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M4 Money Supply MoM climbed to 0.8 in March 2026, up 0.1 from February's 0.7 reading. The print exceeded the 0.5 consensus by 0.3. M4 Money Supply MoM has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, M4 Money Supply MoM averaged 0.25, vs 0.3 in the prior 3-month window. M4 Money Supply MoM is now the highest in 13 months.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 0.7. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/JPY (Bearish GBP) and negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP).
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| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:01 | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | -3.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.30 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 25 | -20 | -20.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 23:01 | RICS House Price Balance | -23 | -25 | -24.00 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Balance of Trade | -0.72 | -3.4 | -2.57 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 2.8 | 2.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | -0.5 | 0 | -0.35 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.80 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Business Investment QoQ | -2.5 | 1.1 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Goods Trade Balance | -18.79 | -20.1 | -20.10 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.75 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.30 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Orders YoY | 28.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Output YoY | -1 | -2.4 | -2.15 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -7.1 | -9 | -9.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.20 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.45 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Output MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -1.00 | Low | ||