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US Atlanta Fed GDPNow climbed to 3.3% in April 2026, released June 2026, up 0.3% from March's 3.0% reading. The print exceeded the 3.0% consensus by 0.3%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 2.89%. Over the past 3 months, Atlanta Fed GDPNow averaged 2.66%, vs 3.65% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 55th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Jun 2026
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
Atlanta Fed GDPNow (United States) was reported at 3.3% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3% by 0.3%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.28%, ranging from 1.6% to 5.4% across 61 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 3.37%, up from the prior three at 3.3%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.86%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.71%). In June readings over the past 3 years, Atlanta Fed GDPNow has averaged 3.54%.
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.37%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
US Atlanta Fed GDPNow for June registered at 3.300000%, beating the previous 3.000000% estimate. This marks a 0.3 percentage point increase from May’s 3.000000%, indicating a modest acceleration in GDP growth. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data closely as the Federal Reserve maintains its current policy stance. Updated 6/9/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.3 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.8 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | NAHB Housing Market Index | 37 | 36 | 36.50 | Medium | ||
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits MoM | 4.4 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Building Permits | 1.423 | 1.41 | 1.41 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 4.2 | 6 | 6.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts MoM | -2.8 | -2 | -2.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Housing Starts | 1.465 | 1.44 | 1.44 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 8.8 | 11.9 | 11.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.9 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales YoY | 3.2 | 1.5 | 2.00 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.45 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 18:00 | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||