Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,728K in October 2026
FMPWeeklyReleased October 2026
US Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,728K in October 2026, up 25K from September's 1,703K reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, Continuing Jobless Claims averaged 1,755.5K, vs 1,794.85K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 12th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1728
Actual
1720
Consensus
1703
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1,135.87 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 716.25
Actual: 1,728
Error: -1,011.75
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Continuing Jobless Claims (United States) was reported at 1,728 thousand in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1,720 thousand by 8 thousand. The reading rose from the previous value of 1,703 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 966,683 thousand, ranging from 1,701 thousand to 1,949,000 thousand across 94 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a weekly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 577,146 thousand, up from the prior three at 568,806 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 906,288 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 945,796 thousand). In October readings over the past 3 years, Continuing Jobless Claims has averaged 985,114 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1,136 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29) and GDP Price Index QoQ (Oct 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Continuing Jobless Claims - US
Loading chart data...
About Continuing Jobless Claims — United States
DEFINITION
Continuing Jobless Claims is a financial indicator that measures the number of individuals who have filed for unemployment benefits and continue to receive them. This data is used to assess the health of the job market and can provide insights into the overall economic conditions. A high number of continuing jobless claims may indicate a weak job market, while a low number may suggest a strong job market. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can impact consumer spending, business confidence, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 1,728,000 Thousands. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 1,703,000 Thousands. Before that (Sep 2026): 1,714,000 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, October 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Goods Trade Balance | -134.9 | -132.07 | -130 | -132.45 | High |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.462 | 1.675 | -0.9 | -1.18 | Low |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -1.892 | -3.061 | 0 | -0.95 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 3.87 | -2.952 | -0.9 | 1.49 | Medium |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4.00 | High |
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 194 | 199 | 197.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.1 | 3.2 | 4.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.1 | 3.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 197.75 | 197 | 193.38 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1728 | 1720 | 1711.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.8 | 3.9 | 5.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5 | 3.4 | 3.95 | Low | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 77 | 75 | 71.50 | Low | |