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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,801K in August 2026
FMPWeeklyReleased August 2026
US Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,801K in August 2026, up 24K from July's 1,777K reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, Continuing Jobless Claims averaged 1,797K, vs 1,829.46K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 28th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1801
Actual
1790
Consensus
1777
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2,219.58 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 414.69
Actual: 1,801
Error: -1,386.31
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Continuing Jobless Claims (United States) was reported at 1,801 thousand in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1,790 thousand by 11 thousand. The reading rose from the previous value of 1,777 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,043,336 thousand, ranging from 1,777 thousand to 1,962,000 thousand across 91 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 601,528 thousand, up from the prior three at 593,534 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 923,563 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 939,063 thousand). In August readings over the past 3 years, Continuing Jobless Claims has averaged 904,623 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2,220 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Existing Home Sales MoM (Aug 11) and Existing Home Sales (Aug 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Continuing Jobless Claims - US
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About Continuing Jobless Claims — United States
DEFINITION
Continuing Jobless Claims is a financial indicator that measures the number of individuals who have filed for unemployment benefits and continue to receive them. This data is used to assess the health of the job market and can provide insights into the overall economic conditions. A high number of continuing jobless claims may indicate a weak job market, while a low number may suggest a strong job market. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can impact consumer spending, business confidence, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 1,801,000 Thousands. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 1,777,000 Thousands. Before that (Jul 2026): 1,789,000 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 97.4 | 97.8 | 97.70 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales MoM | -2.4 | -0.7 | -1.65 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Existing Home Sales | 4.09 | 4.07 | 4.05 | High | |
| Wednesday, August 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI | 333.95 | 334.03 | 334.39 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI s.a | 332.568 | 332.6 | 332.85 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | CPI MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Core CPI MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 18:00 | US | Monthly Budget Statement | -120 | -294.6 | -297.10 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Budget Balance | -120 | -294.6 | -265.70 | Medium | |
| Thursday, August 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1801 | 1799 | 1799.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 199 | 198 | 198.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI YoY | 4.7 | 4.7 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.55 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.55 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 198.75 | 197 | 197.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.45 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index | 156.566 | 156.41 | 157.36 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.5 | 5 | 5.55 | Low | |