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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,795K in June 2026
FMPWeeklyReleased June 2026
US Continuing Jobless Claims climbed to 1,795K in June 2026, up 24K from May's 1,771K reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, Continuing Jobless Claims averaged 1,802.33K, vs 1,869.75K in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 20th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1795
Actual
1780
Consensus
1771
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2,134.44 thousand
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -1,220.95
Actual: 1,795
Error: -3,015.95
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Continuing Jobless Claims (United States) was reported at 1,795 thousand in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1,780 thousand by 15 thousand. The reading rose from the previous value of 1,771 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,058,256 thousand, ranging from 1,777 thousand to 1,963,000 thousand across 89 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 599,524 thousand, up from the prior three at 591,523 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 934,184 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 932,847 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, Continuing Jobless Claims has averaged 856,579 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2,134 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Continuing Jobless Claims - US
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About Continuing Jobless Claims — United States
DEFINITION
Continuing Jobless Claims is a financial indicator that measures the number of individuals who have filed for unemployment benefits and continue to receive them. This data is used to assess the health of the job market and can provide insights into the overall economic conditions. A high number of continuing jobless claims may indicate a weak job market, while a low number may suggest a strong job market. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors as it can impact consumer spending, business confidence, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released weekly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1,795,000 Thousands. Prior reading (May 2026): 1,771,000 Thousands. Before that (May 2026): 1,785,000 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.