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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index fell to 6.6 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index fell to 6.6 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 2.9 from July's 9.5 reading. The reading missed the 7 consensus by 0.4. Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index averaged 9.65, vs 3.53 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 59th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.6
Actual
7
Consensus
9.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.81
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 8.33
Actual: 6.6
Error: +1.72
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| MSFT | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index (United States) was reported at 6.60 in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 7.00 by 0.40. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.99, ranging from -6.40 to 9.80 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8.63, up from the prior three at 3.47. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.12) is comparable than the prior year (σ 4.87). In September readings over the past 3 years, Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index has averaged 4.30.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/CAD, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.81.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 29, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index - US
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About Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index — United States
DEFINITION
The Dallas Fed Services Revenues Index is a key economic indicator that measures the overall performance of the service sector in the Dallas-Fort Worth area. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of businesses in industries such as healthcare, education, and professional services. This index is widely used by economists, investors, and policymakers to assess the current and future state of the local economy. Its timely and accurate data makes it a crucial tool for making informed financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 6.6, consensus 7. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 9.5. Before that (Jun 2026): 9.8.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CHF (Bullish USD, r=0.41) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |