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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Existing Home Sales fell to 4.06M in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
US Existing Home Sales fell to 4.06M in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.07M from June's 4.13M reading. The reading matched the 4.05M consensus. Existing Home Sales has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Existing Home Sales averaged 4.13M, vs 4M in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 58th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
4.06
Actual
4.05
Consensus
4.13
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±7,250.08 million
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 5,004.05
Actual: 4.06
Error: +4,999.99
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Existing Home Sales (United States) was reported at 4.06 million in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 4.05 million by 0.01 million. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.13 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,954,764.05 million, ranging from 3.91 million to 4,270,000.00 million across 21 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1,353,336.05 million, down from the prior three at 1,376,669.40 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 2,050,848.23 million) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1,981,252.36 million). In August readings over the past 3 years, Existing Home Sales has averaged 1,007,503.01 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CHF (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 7,250.08 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Sep 9) and API Crude Oil Stock Change (Sep 9).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Existing Home Sales - US
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About Existing Home Sales — United States
DEFINITION
Existing Home Sales is a financial indicator that measures the number of previously owned homes that were sold during a specific period of time. This indicator provides valuable insight into the strength and stability of the housing market, as well as the overall state of the economy. It is used by investors, analysts, and policymakers to track trends and make informed decisions related to the real estate market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 4,060,000 Thousands. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 4,130,000 Thousands. Before that (May 2026): 4,190,000 Thousands.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | US | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 99.8 | 99.3 | 98.95 | Low | |
| 15:00 | US | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.77 | 3.7999 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 19:00 | US | Consumer Credit Change | 14.17 | 12 | 12.00 | Low | |