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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Existing Home Sales MoM fell to -2.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
US Existing Home Sales MoM fell to -2.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 6.1% from May's 3.7% reading. The reading missed the 0.7% consensus by 3.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.25%. Over the past 3 months, Existing Home Sales MoM averaged -0.07%, vs -0.53% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 29th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-2.4
Actual
0.7
Consensus
3.7
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: -2.4
Error: +3.3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Existing Home Sales MoM (United States) was reported at -2.4% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.7% by 3.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.14%, ranging from -8.4% to 5.1% across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.33%, up from the prior three at -0.53%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.3%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 3.58%). In July readings over the past 3 years, Existing Home Sales MoM has averaged -3.45%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.04%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Import Prices MoM (Jul 17) and Building Permits (Jul 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Existing Home Sales MoM - US
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About Existing Home Sales MoM — United States
DEFINITION
Existing Home Sales MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the change in the number of previously owned homes sold in a given month. This data is important for understanding the current state of the housing market and can provide insights into consumer confidence and overall economic health. A higher MoM percentage indicates a stronger demand for homes, while a lower percentage may suggest a slowdown in the housing market. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, economists, and policymakers to make informed decisions about the real estate market and its impact on the broader economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -2.4 M, consensus 0.7 M. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.2 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.2 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Friday, July 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 6.7 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Housing Starts | 1.177 | 1.2 | 1.20 | High | |
| 13:15 | US | Industrial Production YoY | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.50 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 13:15 | US | Capacity Utilization | 76.2 | 76.7 | 76.70 | Low | |