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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Exports climbed to 327.1B in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US Exports climbed to 327.1B in April 2026, released June 2026, up 8.3B from March's 318.8B reading. The reading matched the 329.1B consensus. Exports has now risen for 5 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 312.6B, vs 289.57B in the prior 3-month window. Exports is now the highest in 39 months.
Latest Release
327.1
Actual
329.1
Consensus
318.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±13.35 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 334.5
Actual: 327.1
Error: +7.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.82 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| MSFT | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | STOCKS | Bearish MSFT | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (United States) was reported at 327.10 billion in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 329.10 billion by 2.00 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 318.80 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1,074.58 billion, ranging from 277.30 billion to 3,526.18 billion across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 314.67 billion, down from the prior three at 1,368.53 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1,351.63 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1,531.04 billion). In June readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 293.40 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 13.35 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Jun 15) and Industrial Production MoM (Jun 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Exports - US
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About Exports — United States
DEFINITION
US Exports of Goods & Services fell to $3350.605000B in September 2025 from August’s $3366.868000B, marking a slight month-over-month decline. The reading remains 8.7% above July 2023’s $3082.082B, indicating a positive year-over-year trend despite slowing momentum. Market reaction was muted as trade headwinds persist and bond yields held steady. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 3,526.2 M. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 3,350.6 M. Before that (Jul 2025): 3,366.9 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.82) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.