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Data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Sales QoQ climbed to 2.2% in Q2 2026
U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisQuarterlyReleased August 2026
US GDP Sales QoQ climbed to 2.2% in Q2 2026, released August 2026, up 0.3% from March's 1.9% reading. The reading matched the 2.2% consensus. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.6%. Over the past 3 months, GDP Sales QoQ averaged 2.05%, vs 0.95% in the prior 3-month window. GDP Sales QoQ is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
2.2
Actual
2.2
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.59 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 2.38
Actual: 2.2
Error: +0.18
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| GOOGL | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | STOCKS | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Sales QoQ (United States) was reported at 2.2% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 2.2% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.69%, ranging from 0.4% to 7.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.1%, up from the prior three at 1.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.14%) is lower than the prior year (σ 3.16%). In August readings over the past 3 years, GDP Sales QoQ has averaged 3.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with GOOGL, negatively correlated (Bearish GOOGL). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.59%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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GDP Sales QoQ - US
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About GDP Sales QoQ — United States
DEFINITION
GDP Sales QoQ is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP) from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insights into the overall economic performance of a country and is often used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to assess the health of an economy. A positive QoQ growth in GDP sales indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth suggests a decline. This indicator is an important tool for decision-making and forecasting in the financial world.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.2 %, consensus 2.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.64) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | Retail Inventories Ex Autos MoM | 0.7 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |