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Data from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS GDP Sales QoQ climbed to 2.2% in Q2 2026
U.S. Bureau of Economic AnalysisQuarterlyReleased July 2026
US GDP Sales QoQ climbed to 2.2% in Q2 2026, released July 2026, up 0.3% from March's 1.9% reading. The print exceeded the 1.4% consensus by 0.8%. GDP Sales QoQ has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, GDP Sales QoQ averaged 1.7%, vs 0.88% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 50th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
2.2
Actual
1.4
Consensus
1.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.59 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 1.45
Actual: 1.9
Error: -0.45
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
GDP Sales QoQ (United States) was reported at 2.2% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.4% by 0.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.78%, ranging from 0.4% to 7.5% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.27%, down from the prior three at 4.43%. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.66%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 2.59%). In June readings over the past 3 years, GDP Sales QoQ has averaged 0.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bearish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.59%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Jul 30) and Employment Cost Index QoQ (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP Sales QoQ - US
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About GDP Sales QoQ — United States
DEFINITION
GDP Sales QoQ is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's gross domestic product (GDP) from one quarter to the next. It provides valuable insights into the overall economic performance of a country and is often used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to assess the health of an economy. A positive QoQ growth in GDP sales indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth suggests a decline. This indicator is an important tool for decision-making and forecasting in the financial world.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2.2 %, consensus 1.4 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 1.9 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 1.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4 | 4.63 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 197 | 188 | 200 | 192.75 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.85 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.88 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1782 | 1789 | 1800 | 1786.75 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.90 | High |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 202.75 | 207.75 | 210 | 205.06 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.82 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.52 | Low |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.45 | Medium |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low |