Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS ISM Services Prices climbed to 72.6 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
US ISM Services Prices climbed to 72.6 in August 2026, released September 2026, up 2.3 from July's 70.3 reading. The print exceeded the 66 consensus by 6.6. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 68.4. ISM Services Prices is now the highest in 38 months.
Latest Release
72.6
Actual
66
Consensus
70.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.44
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 68.05
Actual: 72.6
Error: -4.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | ▲ Direct | +0.73 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.51 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ISM Services Prices (United States) was reported at 72.60 in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 66.00 by 6.60. The reading rose from the previous value of 70.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 68.10, ranging from 63.00 to 72.60 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 71.40, up from the prior three at 64.63. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.17) is lower than the prior year (σ 4.21). In September readings over the past 3 years, ISM Services Prices has averaged 66.37.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AAPL (Bullish AAPL). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.44.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15) and NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
ISM Services Prices - US
Loading chart data...
About ISM Services Prices — United States
DEFINITION
ISM Services Prices is a key financial indicator that measures the changes in prices for services in the United States. It is based on a monthly survey of purchasing and supply executives, providing valuable insights into the inflationary pressures within the services sector. This indicator is widely used by economists, investors, and policymakers to gauge the overall health of the economy and make informed decisions. A higher ISM Services Prices reading indicates rising prices, while a lower reading suggests a decrease in prices, making it a crucial tool for monitoring inflation and predicting future economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 72.6, consensus 66. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 70.3. Before that (May 2026): 71.3.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AAPL (Bullish AAPL, r=0.73) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - US Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | US | 3-Month Bill Auction | 3.8 | 3.809 | 3.81 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | NY Empire State Manufacturing Index | 20.6 | 15 | 10.85 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices YoY | 5.9 | 6 | 6.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Retail Sales YoY | 5 | 4.3 | 4.30 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices MoM | -1.3 | -0.5 | -0.45 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Import Prices MoM | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Export Prices YoY | 8.2 | 7.5 | 7.90 | Low | |
| 14:00 | US | Business Inventories MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | US | NAHB Housing Market Index | 35 | 34 | 33.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 4 | 4.00 | High | |
| 20:00 | US | Net Long-Term TIC Flows | 172.7 | 146.3 | 146.30 | Medium | |